Thesis Detail - Razi University
Thesis Details
Defense Date:
2026/30/09
Abstract
State estimation is a fundamental task in the monitoring
and operation of electric power distribution networks, where accuracy and speed
play a crucial role in maintaining real-time situational awareness of the grid. This
thesis presents the development and evaluation of a multi-area, data-driven
framework for distribution network state estimation. In the
proposed framework, the network is partitioned into five areas; following
feature engineering based on mutual information, various models—including
Linear Regression, Lasso, ElasticNet, Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), and an
Ensemble model—were employed to estimate voltage magnitude and phase angle. The
method's performance was evaluated using standard 33-bus and 69-bus networks,
utilizing metrics such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error
(RMSE), and Maximum Error (MaxError). The results
demonstrated that the regression models achieved voltage estimation accuracy
comparable to the MLP, while their training times remained under 2.5 seconds
for both networks; in
contrast, training the MLP required approximately 45.2 seconds for the 69-bus
network and 47.1 seconds for the 33-bus network. Under
conditions of full observability, the ensemble model achieved a maximum error
of 0.309% for voltage and 0.1337 degrees for phase angle in the 69-bus network. Corresponding
values ??for the 33-bus network were 0.406% and 0.2294 degrees, respectively. Compared
to the reference study [53], which reported a maximum voltage error of 0.30%
and a phase angle error of 0.34°, the proposed method performed comparably in
terms of voltage error and superiorly in terms of phase angle estimation for
the 69-bus network; for
the 33-bus network, although the voltage error was higher, the phase angle
error remained lower than the reference value. Furthermore,
the multi-area structure in the 69-bus network reduced the total training time
from 153.94 to 117.71 seconds—a reduction of 23.5%. The
study's primary innovation lies in presenting and evaluating an integrated
framework comprising multi-area estimation, mutual information-based feature
engineering, simultaneous comparison of regression and neural network models,
and their combination into an ensemble model; this approach enables the
simultaneous assessment of accuracy, computational cost, and robustness against
measurement loss. Keywords: State estimation, distribution network, artificial
intelligence, ensemble model.
